ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world

ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world

Blog Article

A new reanalysis-based approach is proposed to examine how extreme weather events differ in a warmer or cooler counter-factual world.This approach offers a novel Lab Stools way to develop plausible storylines for some types of extreme event that other methods may not be suitable for.As a proof-of-concept, a reanalysis of a severe windstorm that occurred in February 1903 is translated into a warmer world where it License Plate Lighting produces higher wind speeds and increased rainfall, suggesting that this storm would be more damaging if it occurred today rather than 120 years ago.